Power ratings refit as results come in
Ratings refresh hourly
Statalysts.
Power ratings

Every team,
on one scale.

A rating is a team's strength expressed in points. Subtract one rating from another and you have the model's projected margin for that game on a neutral floor — the same number the predictions board is built from.

College football Top 25

#TeamRating spreadRating
1 Alabama 30.6
2 Ohio State 29.8
3 Notre Dame 29.5
4 Georgia 27.7
5 Miami 27.7
6 Indiana 27.4
7 Texas 25.5
8 Utah 24.3
9 Oregon 24.1
10 LSU 22.3
11 Tennessee 17.9
12 Texas Tech 17.5
13 Florida 17.1
14 Nebraska 16.3
15 Iowa 16.0
16 BYU 15.9
17 UCLA 15.7
18 Northwestern 15.6
19 Pittsburgh 15.4
20 Texas A&M 14.8
21 Missouri 14.7
22 Penn State 14.5
23 USC 14.3
24 Mississippi State 13.8
25 Oklahoma 13.5

College basketball Top 25

#TeamRating spreadRating
1 Michigan 59.1
2 Gonzaga 49.9
3 Arizona 48.4
4 Iowa State 47.6
5 Purdue 47.2
6 Duke 45.9
7 Vanderbilt 45.8
8 Illinois 45.2
9 BYU 44.4
10 Louisville 44.4
11 UConn 44.3
12 Alabama 43.5
13 Georgia 42.7
14 Michigan State 40.8
15 Kansas 40.6
16 Texas Tech 40.6
17 Iowa 40.2
18 Tennessee 40.1
19 Kentucky 40.1
20 Houston 40.1
21 Indiana 39.8
22 St. John's 39.8
23 SMU 39.6
24 Florida 39.4
25 Arkansas 39.3

Reading a rating

Ratings are fit by ridge regression on this season's scoring margins, so a team's number accounts for the quality of its opponents rather than its record alone. Early in the season the fit is pulled toward a preseason projection and released as real results accumulate. Football rates FBS and FCS teams on a single scale, because FBS schedules include FCS opponents and those games only carry information if both sides are rated.

The scale is points. A team rated +51 is projected to beat a team rated +45 by six points on a neutral floor. Home advantage is added on top when a game is not played at a neutral site.

Ratings are refit hourly as new results land, so a team's position can move mid-week.